Is AI really going to gut 90% of programming jobs? I'm majoring in computer science and it seems hopeless at the rate this thing is progressing
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Is AI really going to gut 90% of programming jobs? I'm majoring in computer science and it seems hopeless at the rate this thing is progressing
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No.
IT'S HAPPENING!!!
AI IS GOING TO KILL US ALL!!!!
Cool but what does that have to do with job displacement?
That's why OP said 90%.
yes. i feel really bad for new devs fresh out of school. it really is over. I am not joking either. theres no need for on-shore developers when pajeets who will be using this software will get paid $3/hr and be happy with it. Programming has went from Einstein tier skill to Janitorial all in a matter of 1 year, image how it will be in another year.
if ai is so smart why does it still require an indian to wrangle it
Basic code monkey jobs might be replaced, but there will still be a need to review and understand the code that an AI produces to check whether it actually does everything properly.
>I duno know wha ci/cd is an how we cahn automatizeee with aei
So not only programming jobs are already competitive today, they are going to become much more competitive in the future!
human wrote the code to run the thing
No, devs will use AI tools to be more productive and automate the boring parts of development. You'll still need humans to know design best practices, review the AI generated code, and consider security requirements.
It might, I'm pretty worried
I'm using copilot, code llama, chatgpt4, etc for my work and I find it makes me 10-30% more efficient depending on the task.
For my non-main skills like UI/UX, copy writing, etc it easily makes me >50% more efficient.
> t. dev with 10+ years exp.
No, the thing with AI training is that it has huge diminishing returns. Leaps and bounds happen happen during its early development but eventually small improvements require exponentially larger amounts. AI will definitely clean up a few low class jobs, but not because the AI is going to he doing those outright, because the performance benefits given to more proficient developers will render them unnecessary.
AI will brute-force UBI and we'll all live happily ever after, the end.
It definitely helps in programming, but it's not going to replace my job any time soon. Try getting a non-coder to use ChatGPT to do coding and it won't get them anywhere. You still need a solid game plan for your code, and ChatGPT can only help you with it, but it can't get you there on its own.
Hopefully it goes higher
AI market crash of 2026 says no.
You come from future?
maybe for web development and useless social media related mobile apps
development of mission critical systems, both civil and defense, are probably safe
I feel more comfortable knowing there are a lot of people who got into masters degree programs and still think it's okay to copy and paste from ChatGPT for their masters degree. Most people don't actually think that much. The AI stuff made it very clear. I am actually worried about there not being enough people to make sure the tech works.
Look at it as a continuum:
AI will gradually eat away at programmers as a workforce from the bottom up. At first only novice coders will be displaced (which has interesting implications for comprehensive learning of basics, and for career progression - it means you need to enter at a higher level, which means more preparation, and many users will lack fundamental underpinnings as AI can take care of them (although they may have a theoretical understanding). As AI increases in capacity it will gradually eat up the ranks until it captures the best programmers in the world, who at that stage will be little more than project managers and glorified nurses to AI processes.
So yeah, to think you will be immune because you're an exceptional programmer ignores the reality that the more exceptional you are, the more you cost - and the more desirable it is to replace you.
Get off your high horses about being some exceptionally skilled programmer. You will eventually be replaced. Probably 30 years from now, but eventually.