After reading "At Our Wits' End: Why We're Becoming Less Intelligent and What it Means for the Future", I cooled down my expectations for AGI this century.
On the other hand, I believe narrow forms of artificial intelligence will wipe out 90 to 99% of jobs in the next years and decades, essentially creating a highly stratified society:
>90%: a vast jobless UBI lower class at the hands of the government.
>9%: those holding remnant jobs for which human contact, or presence are necessary, such as nurses, therapists, prostitutes, etc... Also those holding jobs for which machines would be more expensive to build and maintain, despite being capable of performing the job, such as McDonalds employees.
>~1%: the technical upper class holding onto the cutting edge of innovation. Only those with IQs above 135 or so will have any chance whatsoever of landing a job in a fild not easily automatable.
><0.1%: our capitalist overlords amassing vast ammounts of wealth reminiscent of feudal lords.
The jobless UBIers will have nothing, and many might be happy, but some won't due to their social status and lack of capacity to improve. Those satisfied with toys and distractions will live in paradise. Those that care about social mobility and take pride on their own accomplisments will be miserable.
This AI called Midjourney is already single handedly wiping out 95% of 2D digital artist jobs as we speak, and many people thought that art was untouchable by AI.