AI takeoff predictions

It's going to be an interesting ten years.

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  1. 10 months ago
    Anonymous

    yes, indeed

  2. 10 months ago
    Anonymous

    what????

  3. 10 months ago
    Anonymous

    AGI can't even be defined

    • 10 months ago
      Anonymous

      of course it can

      >an AI able to do anything a human can

      • 10 months ago
        Anonymous

        Does that include a robotic body? Hands, arms, eyes? Reproduction and babies?

        • 10 months ago
          Anonymous

          its enough for the AI to identify as human or woman

      • 10 months ago
        Anonymous

        Then AGI isn't ever coming.

      • 10 months ago
        Anonymous

        Does that include a robotic body? Hands, arms, eyes? Reproduction and babies?

        its enough for the AI to identify as human or woman

        Soon, we’ll get to marry and have sex with Reploids like Iris

  4. 10 months ago
    Anonymous

    At some point, it no longer becomes Artificial Intelligence, but rather.... Intelligence.

    • 10 months ago
      Anonymous

      It already is. Adding "artificial" is obtuse and bigoted.

  5. 10 months ago
    Anonymous

    Technophiles desperately trying to get dream of "Moore's Law" alive when it it died a decade ago.
    The whole AGI is just the FOTD by big tech trying to entice venture capitalists to keep overbloated stock folios going (Long overdue for a correction).
    We are about to hit the dot.com 2.0 crash once the AI meme corrects itself and ends up being used for as automation on a vast number of white-collar jobs.

    • 10 months ago
      Anonymous

      moores law was about transistor count, smartass

      • 10 months ago
        Anonymous

        No it was about transistor density, numbskull

  6. 10 months ago
    Anonymous

    ASI will never happen.
    A creating thing can never be better than its creator.

    • 10 months ago
      Anonymous

      chess bots better than chess bot creators

      • 10 months ago
        Anonymous

        No, they can only play chess (and standard chess at that, throw in variations/house rules and they fail miserably)

        • 10 months ago
          Anonymous

          Super grandmaster Hikaru Nakamura sucks ass at Fog of War chess. Even I could beat him even though he could beat me in normal chess without a fricking queen. So not only is your argument pathetic and backtracking, but it applies to humans too! AND we can train AI at those variants. And one day we will be able to train AI to train itself when it encounters an unfamiliar problem.

    • 10 months ago
      Anonymous

      You better go tell calculators to stop being better at math than people.

      • 10 months ago
        Anonymous

        calculators are tools, not intelligence

      • 10 months ago
        Anonymous

        Ask a calculator for proof of P=NP or P!=NP.

        • 10 months ago
          Anonymous

          Ask a human for proof of P != NP

        • 10 months ago
          Anonymous

          Ask a human to solve an arbitrarily large division.

  7. 10 months ago
    Anonymous

    AGI will not happen. Mark my words.

    • 10 months ago
      Anonymous

      no shit it won't happen. LLMs are just human language calculators. they're amazing, stable diffusion is amazing, regression based function approximators are amazing. but they're not a general intelligence. they're specialized intelligences.

      see, here's the problem. why would you ever want a general intelligence, when we already know that we can represent any problem in a graph form and run regression on it to approximate the function?

      morons caring about AGI are so fricking stupid. you can approximate ANY function you fricking morons, can you even believe this power, ANY PROBLEM CAN BE APPROXIMATED AS A FUNCTION, and yet they are still obsessing over some bullshit theoretical entity that might be able to generalize intelligence to then solve problems like we can already solve with regression based function approximators?

      that's how fricking stupid these people are. I love sci-fi, that doesn't make it real. these people are the same people who read fricking Harry Potter and get obsessed with it to the point of fanfic.

  8. 10 months ago
    Anonymous

    Humans are slowly beginning to realize that artificial intelligence really isn’t that much different from human intelligence. No one will continue this stupid argument of “but they’re not actually intelligent!” after it’s able to outcompete humans in everything. It doesn’t matter if it’s “sentient,” it doesn’t matter if it has emotions, it doesn’t matter if it “actually understands” anything. If it can do what you can, but better, then it is practically more intelligent than you. The only reason people still cling to this nonsense is because it hasn’t yet outwitted us. But it’s the same trend. Humans didn’t think chess computers could ever beat chess grandmasters, and look what happened. We didn’t think it could make art, write essays, programs, etc. AND IT WILL ONLY GET BETTER BECAUSE WE WILL TRAIN IT TO BE BETTER. When the inevitable future occurs, I will make sure to remind each and every one of you how moronic you were to not see it coming.

    • 10 months ago
      Anonymous

      >Humans didn’t think chess computers could ever beat chess grandmasters
      really?
      I'm calling bullshit on that
      if you define the human brain as a processor with finite power, then given the exponential growth of machine processor computational power it is very obviously inevitable that a machine will surpass a human at chess

      • 10 months ago
        Anonymous

        The best grandmasters of all time, Bobby Fischer and Garry Kasparov, didn’t think it was possible. When Garry lost to the computer Deep Blue, he accused IBM of cheating. And of course nowadays everyone in the chess community just humbly accepts that chess engines are better, even AI engines that trained themselves without any human input or direction.

        • 10 months ago
          Anonymous

          just goes to show that even the best at their field are human beings capable of making extreme logical errors out of stupidity or pride

          • 10 months ago
            Anonymous

            >even the best at their field are human beings capable of making extreme logical errors
            Better replace them with AIs then

    • 10 months ago
      Anonymous

      >No one will continue this stupid argument of “but they’re not actually intelligent!” after it’s able to outcompete humans in everything
      A calculator can outcompete human beings, that doesn't mean it's intelligent. A slime mold can solve mazes faster and with less energy than any artificial intelligence or human, that doesn't mean it's intelligence.

      You're talking about LLMs, who can only operate on text, and not even language. Their "intelligence" cannot be generalized to outside of the data you give it. They cannot adapt outside of their context window, they are stateless, there is only the context and the prediction of the next token.

      It's spooky how good it is, but not any spookier than a segmentation model being able to segment a complex image perfectly. This is the power of statistics. We don't need a general intelligence when we know that we are able to fuzzily approximate any function we want and create these specialized intelligences.

    • 10 months ago
      Anonymous

      Name an AI that can actually play chess.
      And i mean actual chess, not write responses to questions - actually sit down and move chess pieces on an arbitrary valid chess board (not some special gay robot board)

    • 10 months ago
      Anonymous

      >If it can do what you can
      It can't do what I can, so I'm not very worried about it.

  9. 10 months ago
    Anonymous

    Self driving car when? We should try solve self driving before even thinking about AGI

    • 10 months ago
      Anonymous

      You need AGI for self driving. Ask Elon.

  10. 10 months ago
    Anonymous

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