I've been thinking about what people are saying about AI and reading all the various predictions people have about it replacing jobs and whatnot. People talking about it's exponential growth like it's an inevitability. However I haven't found anything discussing what currently limits AI.
So AI still uses transistors. The thing that Intel struggled massively to get to 10nm. And in general the industry has been struggling to shrink these things further. The only solution is more cores, more silicon, more power consumption. Until they manage to squeeze another node shrink out...
That Boston dynamics robot dog "spot" has a 5kg 594wh battery and can only run for 90 minutes. It would be quite difficult to replace any manual labour job with a robot due to this kind of limitation. Could always attach a bigger battery but that's more weight, more expense, less safe etc. Take a lumberjack for example, one guy drinking a gallon of whole milk is good for a day of chopping or more. One robot would need a hugeass battery or some kind of haphazard longass power cable to do the same.
There's quantum computers that are a big unknown, I don't know how they would affect AI processing power.
Can AI ASICs increase it's power? Is this a thing?
Can nuclear power be minified to the point where a mini nuke battery is feasible? Or is that sci fi movie bullshit?
I think processing power and battery technology may stunt AI growth and prevent the kind of exponential growth that will replace most jobs that many are afraid of. All this may be a huge fucking brainlet take but I don't care, it would be interesting to hear some others thoughts on this subject!